Valuation


Valuation:
(1) Relative value to competitors: price to earnings, sales, and book value:
Name
RIC
PE
Est. PE
EPS
(MYR)
DPS
(MYR)
Payout
Div Yld %
ROE %
P/Book
P/Sales
Market Cap - USD
LMC
LMCE.KL
19.50
19.06
0.35
0.34
98%
4.93
9.57
1.90
2.52
  1,891,256,612.90
YTL CEMENT
YTLC.KL
9.79
7.56
0.47
0.13
28%
2.85
14.84
1.25
1.23
     733,726,709.68
Tasek Corp
TKCS.KL
8.80
9.41
0.83
0.35
42%
4.46
14.15
1.04
1.77
     312,641,496.77
Cahya Mata
CMSM.KL
6.41
8.54
0.20
0.05
25%
2.45
5.01
0.51
0.73
     216,819,754.84
Steppe Cement
STCM.L
-
27.81
-0.02
0.00
0%
0.00
-3.00
0.80
1.37
       99,549,060.00

LMCE’s PE, Payout ratio, Dividend yield and P/Book is better than competitors.  Looking only at the P/Sales, LMCE seems to be relatively overvalued.  Historical P/S of LMCE along with its closest competitor, YTL cements, as shown below, shows that the relative assumption on overvalue of LMCE:

31-Dec-10
31-Dec-09
31-Dec-08
31-Dec-07
31-Dec-06
YTL Stock price
4.76
4.28
2.35
5
4
YTL % change
11%
82%
-53%
25%
74%
LMCE Stock price
7.67
6.25
3.94
5.85
4.6
LMCE % change
23%
59%
-33%
27%
124%
YTL P/S TTM
1.21
1.41
1.05
2.86
1.82
LMCE P/S TTM
2.80
2.14
1.32
3.68
2.12

The high P/B coupled with low ROE also indicates that LMCE could be overvalued.